• Political risk 25% 25%
  • Security risk | Insurgencies 60% 60%
  • Social instability 55% 55%
  • Criminality | Kidnappings 45% 45%
  • Economic & business risk 40% 40%

22 March 2020 MEA Risk Instability index at 1.74 | Moderate-to-High Risk Zone

The MEA Risk instability index for the week ending 22 March 2020 was 1.74. indicating the country is a Moderate-to-High Risk Zone. The index has been down as a result of less insurgent activity in the northeast and in bandit activity in central and northwest Nigeria,...

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Flashpoints

From our Analysts

Commentaries and views from Nigeria analysts

Arezki Daoud
Lead Analyst

Borno’s capital Maiduguri under siege: Boko Haram wants its fall

Download the MP3 file Keeping and protecting the northeastern city of Maiduguri is likely to be a major test for the Buhari administration over the coming months.  Over the past weeks, there has been increasing evidence that Boko Haram and the Islamic State active in the region known as ISWAP have been chipping away slowly but surely at the presence of the Nigerian government, degrading its military positions, but also inflicting misery to the local populations to push for a rebellion, with the ultimate goal is to see the government exit Maiduguri.  This is not likely going to happen, but...

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This week’s big story 

Seeing beyond the headlines

 

Public Health: Coronavirus makes its appearance in southwest Nigeria

The Nigerian Federal Ministry of Health confirmed the positive test of coronavirus in Nigeria, on Friday 28 February. The announcement came in a statement signed by Minister of Health Dr. Osagie Ehanire. The case was recorded on Thursday 27 February 2020.  The ministry's statement says the case is an Italian citizen who travelled to Nigeria for business on 25 February 2020. The patient flew a...

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